Saturday, October 24, 2009

Everybody Thinks the Real Estate Market has Recovered

Philadelphia Skyline SouthImage by reeltor99 via Flickr

Well maybe not everybody, and maybe not quite recovered yet, However a consensus of several major real estate groups says that 2010 is the time for the expansion of the real estate market. According to several studies, the market of 2009 will mark the end of the real estate "contraction" and next year will mark an expected increase of almost 10% with a projected total of 5.403 million units closed in 2010 compared to an estimated 4.929 million units registered in 2009.

The compilation of housing forecasts released was released earlier this week on Real Estate Economy The Web site , operated by former NAR economist David Lereah presented the September housing forecasts of the National Association of Realtors, the National Association of Homebuilders, the Mortgage Bankers Association, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and then calculated the consensus (mean) prediction for each major housing measure for the group as a whole.

Of course the impact of foreclosures on the market, and the renewed activity of investors and home buyers looking to take advantage of the well priced inventory, combined with the $8,000 tax credit have positively impacted the market this year. Local tracking indicates that each quarter this year so far has seen increases in sales activity. However the tax credit is currently due to end in November, and if it is not extended, the impact on the marketplace will have to be seen to be judged.

The article goes on to say "At present, the housing sector is experiencing a recovery in home sales and housing starts. Both measures are meaningfully above their January cyclical lows. Home price movements are also improving. Home price declines on a year over year basis have decelerated in monthly reporting, while home prices have increased in recent months on a monthly basis." In our local market area, where prices were not reduced as drastically as some parts of the country, this impact is good news for homeowners and a caution for home buyers that want to take advantage of the current combination of low rates and attractive prices.

In the meantime, as things seem to get brighter, we can't forget that miracles do sometimes happen. After all the Phillies are in the World Series for the 2nd year in a row!

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mayaREguru said...

Good post Bill. You would almost think they are following an affirmation type of philosophy, if we preach it it will happen. I just wish Buyers would adjust their expectations about pricing. Thanks for sharing! And Go PHILLIES!