Monday, July 13, 2009

REBarCamp Virginia Beach

I'll be sharing information and learning from my peers later this week at ReBarCamp Virginia Beach.

ReBarCamps are a phenomena that have swept the real estate industry this year after the initial event in San Francisco held in July 2008. They are "Un-Conferences" where the agenda is created the morning of the event by the participants. This year saw these volunteer driven events spring up in New York, Portland, Phoenix, Philadelphia, Fredricksburg, Denver, Los Angeles, Charlotte, Orange County, and Boston, with events still to come in Lynchburg, Columbus, and Miami.

If you haven't been to one, you ought to try to get there - Its free, its fun and its a great place to learn.



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Friday, July 10, 2009

Case-Schiller Index Points to Stronger Market

Case-Shiller monthly changes March to April 2009

Last Tuesday -- for the first time in a long while -- members of the press met the monthly Case-Shiller Index data with enthusiasm. And why shouldn't they? 19 of the 20 measured markets showed a slowing pace of home price decline in April.

Here are some of the headlines about the story:


Now, the headlines feel negative, but they're actually highlighting some key strengths in April's figures. For example, nearly half of the Case-Shiller markets posted gains in April and all but one showed month-over-month improvement.

It's a step in the right direction but doesn't mean that housing has turned around for good.

We have to be careful about how we interpret the Case-Shiller Index because it's an imperfect housing gauge. The most obvious Case-Shiller flaw is that it only measures home values in 20 cities nationwide and they're not even the 20 biggest cities.

Houston, Philadelphia, San Antonio and San Jose are excluded from the report and each ranks among the country's 10 most populous areas. Because of that, I usually don't like to quote the Case-Schiller Index, because we live in Philadelphia, and if our data is not included in the calculations, using it to discuss our market is an inherently flawed conversation.

That said, the report is still paid attention to nationally because the Case-Shiller Index is thought to identify broader housing trends and that helps to shape economic policy, and the idea of a single index is attractive to people writing about housing. And perhaps because this report is a positive report, and I am an inherently optimistic individual, I feel better about using the report to discuss the real estate market.

Not only versus last month but also versus last year, the pace at which home values are falling appears to be getting slower. This is the third straight month Case-Shiller has reported as such.

Now, three months makes a trend, but the data has to stay strong through the summer months to mark a bona fide turnaround. If the Case-Shiller Index shows strength for May and June, it could be the signal for which the markets have been waiting.

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Thursday, July 9, 2009

Can You Save the Planet When You Mow Your Lawn?

The Lehr Eco Trimmer -- Propane-powered garden toolsMotorized garden tools come in two varieties -- gas-powered and electric-powered.

If you take a close look, however, you'll notice that professional landscapers and gardening experts almost always choose the gas-powered types. This is because gas-powered garden tools both outperform and outlast their electric counterparts.

On the downside, they're an environmental nightmare.

According to the California Air Resources Board, a typical 5-horsepower, gasoline-powered lawnmower produces more pollution in 60 minutes of operation than a Toyota Prius produces in 800 miles of driving.

The environmental pollution created by lawn care products is one of the reasons why the Eco Trimmer by Lehr is getting such good buzz. As the first propane-powered garden tool, the Eco Trimmer combines the lawn care power of a gas-powered tool with the environmental accountability of an electric one.

The propane-powered tool emits 96 percent fewer carcinogens than a gas-powered tool and is completely non-toxic to ground and soil. Its performance is highly-rated, too.

The Eco Trimmer sells for about $200 on Amazon.com and is available in most major hardware stores. You can read more about the product and its environmental impact at the official Lehr website.


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Wednesday, July 8, 2009

Can You Buy More House Because of Higher Unemployment?

Unemployment Rate June 2009Last week's jobs report is the latest data point to drag down rates for today's home buyers and would-be refinancers.

As reported by the government, the national Unemployment Rate rose to 9.5 percent in June -- a 25-year high.

As the percentage of out-of-work Americans grows, households have less disposable income to pump back into the economy.

And so, because consumer spending accounts for two-third of the economy, the growing ranks of the unemployed are forcing markets to change expectations about when the U.S. economy will reach its full recovery.

Inflation is the enemy of mortgage rates. The perceived absence of inflation, therefore, can be its friend.

With fewer working Americans, we can expect slower economic growth plus a smaller probability for inflation over the medium-term. This is why mortgage rates are lower of late, off by as much as a half-percent from the peak.

Home affordability is up. And in a market like Philadelphia where prices have remained typically affordable, that may account for the additional activity we are seeing this summer as home buyers work towards attaining future security for their families through home ownership.

So if affordability is up, should you be looking to see what might be in your best interest?

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Tuesday, July 7, 2009

Keep Your Grill Gassed up!

Gas Watch Propane MonitorIf you've ever been grilling for friends or family and emptied your gas tank mid-burger, you'll appreciate the GasWatch Propane Level Indicator and Safety Gauge.

For less than $20, the fits-most-grills appliance connects between the gas tank and the regulator, clearly displaying the propane left until a refill is needed.

When the needle falls to red, grillers can expect another 15 minutes of cooking until total flame out. The method is reportedly more reliable than the magnetic tank gauge method that involves pouring hot water down the side of the tank and reading a temperature-sensitive ink spot.

Additionally, if the GasWatch gauge senses a leak, it shuts down the flow of propane to keep the grill from catching fire.

July 4th is behind us, but there's lots of grilling left in the season. Pick up a GasWatch propane gauge at a local Home Depot or hardware store, or buy one online at Amazon.com.