Friday, January 29, 2010

Home Values Rose In November 2009 By Another 0.7 Percent

Home Price Index April 2007 to November 2009

Reporting on a two-month lag, the government said home values rose 0.7 percent in November.

National home prices are at their highest point since February 2009.

But before we look too much into the FHFA's Home Price Index, it's important that we're cognizant of its shortcomings; the most important of which is its lack of real-time reporting.

According to the National Association of Realtors™, 80% of purchases close within 60 days. As a result, because of its two-month delay, the Home Price Index report actually trails today's market data by an entire sales cycle.

This is one reason why home values appear to be rising even while new data shows that both Existing Home Sales and New Home Sales fell flat last month. The home valuation report is using data from November; the sales reports are using data from December.

The Home Price Index is a trailing indicator and next month, as the Spring Market gets underway, the government will be reporting data from the holidays.

The same is true for the Case-Shiller Index. It, too, operates on a 2-month lag.

All of that said, however, long-term trends do matter in housing and the Home Price Index has shown consistent improvement over the last 10 months. In many markets, home sales are up, home supplies are down, and values have increased. This trend should continue into the early part of 2010, at least.

If you're wondering whether now is a good time to buy a home in Philadelphia , consider low prices, cheap mortgages and an available tax credit as three good incentives. By May, none of them will likely be available.

Tuesday, January 26, 2010

Less Than 100 Days Left To Claim The Homebuyer Tax Credit

100 days remain for the Home Buyer Tax Credit ExpirationNovember 6, 2009, Congress voted to extend and expand the First-Time Home Buyer Tax Credit program. There's 100 days left to claim it.

The expiration date of the up-to-$8,000 tax credit has been pushed forward to spring, requiring homebuyers in Philadelphia and New Jersey to be under contract for a home no later than April 30, 2010, and to be closed no later than June 30, 2010.

In addition, "move-up" buyers were also added to the program's eligibility list meaning you don't have to be a first-time home buyer to be eligible for the tax credit. If you've lived in your home for 5 of the last 8 years, you meet the IRS requirements.

Move-up buyers are capped at a total tax credit of $6,500.

In our marketplace, that's a substantial amount of money. Areas with much higher priced homes see onyl a moderate impact from these tax credits, but in our market, which has always been a more balanced market economically, these amounts can mean a significant benefit to the homebuyer lucky enough to qualify and smart enough to take advantage of the program.

The tax credit's basic eligibility requirements remain the same:

  • You can't purchase the home from a parent, spouse, or child
  • You can't purchase the home from an entity in which they're a majority owner
  • You can't acquire the home by gift or inheritance
  • All parties to the purchase must meet eligibility requirements

The new law includes some notable updates, however.

First, the subject property's sales price may not exceed $800,000. Homes sold for more than $800,000 are ineligible. And, also, household income thresholds have been raised to $125,000 for single-filers and $225,500 for joint-filers.

    And lastly, don't forget that the program is a true tax credit -- not a deduction. This means that a tax filer who's eligible for the full $8,00 credit and whose "normal" tax liability totals $5,000 would receive a $3,000 refund from the U.S. Treasury at tax time.

    The complete list of qualifying criteria is posted on the IRS website. Review it with a tax professional to determine your eligibility. Then mark your calendar for April 30, 2010.

    There's less than 100 days to go.

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    Monday, January 25, 2010

    New 2010 FHA Guidelines Give Buyers Reasons to Act NOW!

    New FHA guidelinesSecuring an FHA mortgage in Pennsylvania and New Jersey is about to get more expensive.

    In a statement issued last Wednesday, the Federal Housing Authority outlined policy changes to its mortgage assistance program. The shift is meant to both reduce the government group's portfolio risk while strengthening its overall financials.

    For consumers, the changes mean higher costs.

    As listed in the official announcement, there are 3 major guideline updates for the FHA:



    1. Upfront mortgage insurance premiums are increasing to 2.25% from 1.75%


    2. Minimum downpayments for applicants with sub-580 FICOs are rising to 10 percent


    3. Seller concessions are being limited to 3%, down from today's allowable 6%


    Furthermore, the FHA has appealed to Congress to raise an FHA borrowers' monthly mortgage insurance premiums.

    To read the FHA's statement, it's clear what the group is trying to balance. On one side, the FHA wants to provide affordable financing to families that need it. That's its mission statement. On the other side, though, the FHA must manage the risk that comes with insuring lesser-quality loans.

    To that end, the FHA is stepping up its enforcement of "bad lenders" in hopes of stopping problems where they start.

    Also in its new policies, the FHA is introducing a "termination clause". If banks or loan officers that produce more than their fair share of bad loans, they lose their right to originate FHA mortgages.

    As a result, homebuyers in Philadelphia and surrounding areas should expect tougher FHA underwriting in 2010. Not because the FHA says so, necessarily, but because banks don't want to do "bad loans". Lenders are incented to turn down at-risk applicants and, already, we're seeing examples of this. Despite FHA allowing 580 FICOs and lower, many banks have made 620 their minimum.

    Some have other guideline overlays, too.

    Even with these changes, the issues surrounding conventional loans made by lenders who are risk adverse and being scrutinized by federal regulators make FHA loans a pretty good alternative. Since the FHA's new guidelines don't go into effect until spring buyers have another reason to act quickly duting the next few months. First there was the tax credit program which ends April 30, 2010. Add to that the fact that between now and the spring, the old guidelines will apply. Therefore, if you know you're going to buy a home to take advantage of the tax credit, and you think you may need an FHA home loan in the next few months, consider moving up your time-frame.

    If nothing else, you'll save some money at closing.



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    The Right Way To Make Your Bed When Your Home Is Listed For Sale

    Well-made beds aren't just for comfort -- they're for presentation, too. Especially when you're selling your home. A pristine bed conveys an image of cleanliness and order to potential home buyers and that can help you get more of your asking price at the point of negotiation.

    When homeowners don't take the time to make a bed, buyers wonder what else around the home is getting neglected.

    And there's a proper way to make a bed, too.

    In this 15-step video from Howcast, you'll learn how to start with a stripped down mattress, add bedding, pillows and a blanket, and end with the hotel-quality look that today's home buyers expect. The alternative is to leave a bed sloppy, reducing your home's overall appeal.

    To make a bed the right way takes less than 2 minutes. When your home is listed for sale, make making the bed a part of your daily routine.

    Wednesday, January 20, 2010

    Upon Closer Inspection, The Federal Reserve Isn't 100% Positive About The Future Of The Economy

    FOMC December 2009 MinutesBoth mortgage rates and home affordability took a turn for the better in Philadelphia and surrounding areas last Wednesday after the Federal Reserve released its December 15-16, 2009 meeting minutes.

    The Fed Minutes is a follow-up piece to the post-FOMC meeting press release. But whereas the press release is succinct and to-the-point, the minutes are lengthy and often meandering.

    As a comparison, December's press release contained 535 words. December's minutes had 6,260.

    But these "extra words" aren't superfluous. They're actually very important to homeowners. Because the Federal Reserve's internal debates help to shape Wall Street expectations, it doesn't take much for those conversations to have a trickle-down effect on Main Street.

    For example, after the December meeting, the Fed said that economic growth is steady, inflation is in check, and an orderly wind-down of mortgage market support was underway. A look at the minutes, though, showed some disconnect.

    Some Fed members believe rising commodity prices could lead to stronger-than-expected, and others think that improvement is housing could be "undercut" by a pull-back in government stimulus.

    Overall, the Fed appears optimistic about the economy, but not as optimistic as on December 16. Mortgage markets responded favorably to the minutes and mortgage pricing improved.

    Although rates remain higher as compared to early-December, pricing has been on a good run this week. If you're under contract for a home in Pennsylvania or just looking to refinance, now may be a good time to lock.

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